• 01/20/2025

China misses retail forecasts for November as domestic demand remains muted

Hong Kong Free Press

China retail sales weaken

China’s retail sales growth weakened last month, official data showed on Monday, missing forecasts as demand remains muted in the world’s number two economy.

People line up to buy pastries at a store in Beijing on December 6 , 2024. Photo: Greg Baker/AFP.
People line up to buy pastries at a store in Beijing on December 6 , 2024. Photo: Greg Baker/AFP.

The country is battling sluggish domestic consumption, a persistent crisis in the property sector and soaring government debt — all of which threaten Beijing’s official growth target for this year.

Retail sales expanded three percent year-on-year in November, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said, slowing from a 4.8 percent rise in October that was its best reading in eight months.

The figure fell significantly short of the 5.0 percent forecast in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.

The NBS also said the national urban unemployment rate remained unchanged at five percent in November.

Industrial production growth stayed broadly flat at 5.4 percent compared with 5.3 percent in October.

See also: China’s leaders vow more ‘relaxed’ monetary policy in 2025

Beijing has unveiled a string of aggressive measures in recent months aimed at bolstering growth, including cutting interest rates, cancelling restrictions on homebuying and easing the debt burden on local governments.

But economists have warned that more direct fiscal stimulus aimed at shoring up domestic consumption is needed to restore full health in China’s economy, which has struggled to fully recover since the Covid-19 pandemic.

Beijing is pushing for an official national growth target this year of around five percent, a goal officials have expressed confidence in achieving but which many economists believe it will narrowly miss.

The International Monetary Fund expects China’s economy to grow by 4.8 percent this year and 4.5 percent next year.

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https://hongkongfp.com/2024/12/16/china-misses-retail-forecasts-for-november-as-domestic-demand-remains-muted/