Ukraine will be offered to give up Russian-occupied territories as part of Trump’s peace plan
Pravda Ukraine
Reuters analyzed the proposals of advisers to US President-elect Donald Trump, suggesting that Russia could be given a significant part of the territory of Ukraine captured as a result of military aggression.
Source: Reuters
Quote: “Trump’s advisers would try forcing Moscow and Kyiv into negotiations with carrots and sticks, including halting military aid to Kyiv unless it agrees to talk but boosting assistance if… Vladimir Putin refuses.”
Details: According to the research, the suggestions of three senior advisers, notably Keith Kellogg, Trump’s special representative for the Russian-Ukrainian war, share common components, namely the removal of Ukraine’s NATO membership from the table.
According to the CIA, Trump’s advisers’ words provide insight into the likely parameters of his peace plan.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who is confronting personnel shortages and escalating territory losses, has indicated that he may be willing to negotiate.
While he still hopes to join NATO, he stated this week that Ukraine must seek diplomatic ways to return certain occupied territory.
According to Reuters, Putin was willing to end the war in May by negotiating a ceasefire on the line of contact, but he also stated that if Kyiv and the West did not respond, he would fight on.
As of last week, Trump had failed to form a central working group to produce a peace proposal, according to four advisers who requested anonymity to disclose the confidential conversations. They claim that multiple advisers shared ideas in public forums, including with Trump.
Finally, experts told Reuters that the peace agreement will most likely be contingent on a direct personal meeting between Trump, Putin, and Zelenskyy.
According to a former Trump national security official participating in the transition, three major ideas exist: the Kellogg plan, the plan proposed by newly-elected Vice President J.D. Vance, and the plan by Richard Grenell, Trump’s former interim intelligence head.
Kellogg’s plan, which he co-wrote with former National Security Council staffer Fred Fleitz and delivered to Trump earlier this year, calls for the current front lines to be frozen.
It is thought that Trump will only provide more American armaments to Kyiv if he agrees to peace talks. At the same time, he will warn Moscow that if Russia refuses to negotiate, the US will further up its assistance to Ukraine. Ukraine’s NATO membership will be suspended.
According to the proposal, Ukraine will also receive American security guarantees, which may include increasing arms shipments following the agreement.
Vance, a former US senator who opposed aid to Ukraine, proposed a different suggestion in September.
He told US podcaster Shawn Ryan that the agreement would most likely include a demilitarised zone along the present front line that would be “heavily fortified” to deter further Russian incursions. His proposal would deny Ukraine membership in NATO.
Grenell, Trump’s former ambassador to Germany, argued for the establishment of “autonomous zones” in eastern Ukraine during a Bloomberg roundtable in July, but did not elaborate on his position. He also argued that America’s interests are not served by Ukraine’s membership in NATO.
According to analysts and former national security officials, some of those suggestions would undoubtedly face pushback from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who has included a NATO invitation in his Victory Plan, as well as European allies and certain US politicians.
Last week, Ukraine’s foreign minister submitted a letter to his NATO counterparts requesting an invitation to join at a meeting of foreign ministers on Tuesday.
Some European partners have signalled a willingness to increase help to Ukraine, while US President Joe Biden continues to supply arms. “That could cost Trump some leverage to push Kyiv to the table,” according to Reuters.
Kellogg’s proposal, which would increase aid to Ukraine if Putin does not come to the negotiating table, may find opposition in Congress, where some of Trump’s closest allies reject increased military aid to the country.
“I don’t think anybody has any realistic plan for ending this,” said Eugene Rumer, an analyst for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace think tank and a former top US intelligence official.
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